40+的中年程序员,该何去何从?

公众号谋生或谋爱的第一篇讲过了笔者失业的经过,本文是就这段时间想做一些事,然后有了一些发散的想法,在此整理出来,希望对自己有个总结,对看客有些许帮助。

去年回老家的时候,跟某个不太熟的亲戚的亲戚打招呼,随口关心了一下他的生意情况。他当时的很淡定轻松回了句,还那样。后又补充了句,中国这么多人,我就从他们中间赚点养家钱,应该不难。

可不是嘛,如果有一门生意,可以依托全国人口做基数,只要利润合理,都可以赚到钱。就像小时候做的白日梦一样,如果全国人民每人给一分钱,也可以做个大富家翁了。

那么如何达成这一成果呢?

说句实在话,目前笔者还没有达成这一成果,但是已经有一些可以去碰一碰的想法。这些想法是基于笔者本身的工作经验和所见所闻所感,然后进行筛选下来。

根据个人的认知,首先排除所有与实体相关的行业,如种植养殖,服装店小吃店杂货店;种植养殖是需要有专业知识和经验,已经有现实中的朋友养鸭养鹅亏损几十个大不留,实在的反面教材,还有部分了解到的回农村养牛养羊,牛羊这种好一点,但是没有规模化,没有家庭其他成员的协助,单凭一人也无法达到数量的优势,再者,家庭人员参与多了,其实利润算下来也薄了。

实体店铺,服装店只能成为人们线下的备选,人们现在都习惯在线购物了,各种免运费包退送费服务,已经让大多数人不再光顾线下店铺;小吃店可以考虑,但是依然有一个问题,人力成本很高,看似只需要一两个人就可以打理的店铺,实际还需要1-2人搞后勤。

所以在开始就把一碰就死,利润微薄,夕阳行业,或高成本,需要专业知识或经验的先排除掉。

其次,就是本人所处的行业—-互联网行业。怎么说呢,在24年初这个较为特殊的年份,身处互联网行业,天天接到的信息却是—-互联网寒冬。就以业内身份来说,互联网行业也进入到了一个下行周期,已经是山头林立,难容个人有施展的空间。

通过身边的朋友,得到的一些信息是,互联网行业是个成本比较低的创业方向,果然如此吗?每当有行外朋友这样聊天的时候,笔者都哈哈大笑,给他举个简单的例子,每次在你使用手机验证码登录某个APP的时候,获取验证码这个功能已经有人在为此买单,这就意味着,一个互联网产品,从无到有,从前期的咨询,论证,开发已经有一大笔的开支已经产生,到第一个新用户的开始使用,已经有人为此付出了相当一大笔的支出。

那么为什么笔者还能想到互联网行业呢?唯手熟耳!对,就是熟悉!对于互联网行业从业者来说,所有互联网产品的流程基本都是熟悉的,对于部分不熟悉的地方,也可以用相对合理的成本,去寻找合适的合伙人。这就比直接踏入一个陌生领域,去四处碰壁,花钱花时间花精力去交学费,相对来讲就容易一些。

接下来呢,选择什么方向。对于大多数人来讲,肯定第一个想到的就是电商,模式简单,离钱最近。但是依然有下面几个问题:一是因为没有电商经验,虽然进去之后摸爬滚打或许可以成长起来,但如果成长不起来呢?;二是没有可靠稳固的货源,三是红利期已过,入眼处一片红海,衣食住行的方方面面,全部被头部的网红,电商平台及垂直分层各领域的霸主占满,个人进场分一杯羹,投入大,难度高,收益薄甚至亏损。

其次想做互联网广告,这一部分如果有精力长时间搞,也许有点儿希望,但互联网广告是一个长期投入,收入微薄的领域,没有大的网站或者APP做载体,个人如果要做,前期需要投入大量的时间精力去做内容,做个人IP。

第三是游戏,就目前的经济形势而言,如果有好的游戏点子,能做一爆款小游戏,应该也可以赚得盆满钵满。但是小游戏对于纯的技术研发,也有一些门槛,比如前期的设计美术,中间的开发就算自己学习,后期的运营,活动策划都不是一件容易的事。就笔者而言,依然认为小游戏可以备选。毕竟经济下行,口红效应很明显,另外一个活生生的例子,某个之前玩过的传奇,竟然有不少用户充了几十个大不留。

以上是作为一个互联网从业者对一些赚钱项目的浅见,待日后有更多见闻再更。

《40+的中年程序员,该何去何从?》上有7条评论

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